#10 Michigan (4) vs #3 Kansas (1)
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| Friday, Mar. 29 | 7:37pm ET | TBS |
| 28-7 (12-6) |
Record |
31-5 (14-4) |
Slippery Rock 100-62
IUPUI 91-54
Cleveland State 77-47
Pittsburgh 67-62
Kansas State 71-57
NC State 79-72
Bradley 74-66
W. Michigan 73-41
Arkansas 80-67
Binghamton 67-39
West Virginia 81-66
E. Michigan 93-54
C. Michigan 88-73
Northwestern 94-66
Iowa 95-67
Nebraska 62-47
#9 Minnesota 83-75
Purdue 68-53
Illinois 74-60
Northwestern 68-46
#10 Ohio St. 76-74 OT
Penn State 79-71
Illinois 71-58
#9 Michigan St. 58-57
Purdue 80-75
Penn State 83-66
S. Dakota State 71-56
VCU 78-53 |
Wins |
SE Missouri St. 74-55
Chattanooga 69-55
Washington State 78-41
Saint Louis 73-59
San Jose State 70-57
Oregon State 84-78
Colorado 90-54
Belmont 89-60
Richmond 87-59
#7 Ohio State 74-66
American 89-57
Temple 69-62
Iowa State 97-89 OT
Texas Tech 60-46
Baylor 61-44
Texas 64-59
#11 Kansas St. 59-55
Oklahoma 67-54
West Virginia 61-56
#10 Kansas St. 83-62
Texas 73-47
#14 Okla. St. 68-67 2OT
TCU 74-48
Iowa State 108-96 OT
West Virginia 91-65
Texas Tech 79-42
Texas Tech 91-63
Iowa State 88-73
#11 Kansas St. 70-54
W. Kentucky 64-57
North Carolina 70-58 |
#15 Ohio State 56-53
#3 Indiana 73-81
Wisconsin 62-65 OT
#8 Michigan St. 52-75
Penn State 78-84
#2 Indiana 71-72
#22 Wisconsin 59-68 |
Losses |
#21 Mich. St. 64-67
Oklahoma State 80-85
TCU 55-62
Oklahoma 66-72
Baylor 58-81 |
| 75.1 |
Points Per Game |
75.1 |
| 62.4 |
Scoring Defense |
61.3 |
| 982-for-2,023 (48.5%) |
Field Goal % |
925-for-1,928 (48.0%) |
| 831-for-1,983 (41.9%) |
Def. Field Goal % |
731-for-2,039 (35.9%) |
| 262-for-685 (38.2%) |
3-point % |
205-for-564 (36.3%) |
| 223-for-689 (32.4%) |
Def. 3-point % |
222-for-734 (30.2%) |
| 403-for-567 (71.1%) |
Free Throw % |
572-for-778 (73.5%) |
| 11.5 |
FT Made/Game |
16.3 |
| 35.1 |
Rebounds Per Game |
39.0 |
| 31.9 |
Opp. Reb. Per Game |
32.7 |
| 14.3 |
Assists Per Game |
15.5 |
| 9.3 |
Turnovers Per Game |
13.8 |
| 6.0 |
Steals Per Game |
7.1 |
| 2.8 |
Blocks Per Game |
6.7 |
G – Trey Burke (18.8)
G – Tim Hardaway Jr. (14.9) |
Leading Scorer |
G – Ben McLemore (16.2)
C – Jeff Withey (13.7) |
F – Mitch McGary (5.9)
F – Glenn Robinson III (5.5) |
Leading Rebounder |
C – Jeff Withey (8.3)
F – Kevin Young (6.7) |
Two weeks ago, the Michigan Wolverines were coming off a disappointing second round exit from the Big Ten Tournament at the hands of Wisconsin and given a four-seed in the Big Dance after closing out the season on a mediocre 6-6 run. Matched up against an upstart and trendy mid-major South Dakota State team led by the-best-player-you’ve-never-seen-play, Nate Wolters, Michigan suddenly found itself back in the news, but for all the wrong reasons. National experts proclaimed that the Wolverines’ early season success and brief rise to number one in the country was a thing of the past, and novices around the country drooled at the possibility of another 13 vs. 4 upset pick – only this time, it didn’t seem like “upset” would be the right word.
Finally freed from the shackles of the Big Ten, however, Michigan stunned those same experts and turned the heads of the entire college basketball fan base after handling the Jackrabbits with ease and then pounding Shaka Smart’s Virginia Commonwealth Rams to make it to the Sweet 16 for the first time in 18 years.
With seemingly every former naysayers now on the Michigan bandwagon, the Wolverines look to continue their master run tonight (7:37pm on TBS) in Arlington against the Jayhawks of Kansas. As usual, here are three keys for the Maize and Blue to execute if they hope to be called Elite:
1. Push the Pace: There is more than one reason Kansas is a number one seed again in this year’s tournament – among them their experience, balance, and talent. But the one thing that really makes this Jayhawk team great is its defense. Kansas’s opponents all season long have struggled to score inside the arc, notably because of 7’0″ senior Jeff Withey’s shot-blocking prowess, shooting just 39 percent from two-point range, which leads the country. Overall, Kansas boasts the fifth-best scoring efficiency defense in the land, allowing only .854 points per possession against. In the half-court set, the Jayhawks are even more deadly because Withey can set up camp in the middle of the paint while his athletic and long perimeter defensive mates filter the ball toward him, helping him reach his nearly 4 block per game average.
Michigan is no slouch on the offensive end, scoring the second most points per possession in Division 1, but Kansas’s interior defense is unlike anything the Wolverines have seen all year. The good news for Michigan, however, is that Kansas is not a slow-down, grind-it-out type team. They are more than happy to run up and down the court, averaging almost 68 possessions per game, which would be tops in the Big Ten, even if it doesn’t appear to be in their best interests. In their win over North Carolina to advance into the Sweet Sixteen, Kansas took quick and questionable shots repeatedly in the first half and turned the ball over a whopping 22 times total. For every bad shot, long rebound, and turnover the Jayhawks commit tonight, Michigan should look to run.
The Wolverines have what I dub the triple threat breakaway with their ability to either take it to the rack, pass out for the open three, or dish it to a teammate streaking toward the basket. Trey Burke and Tim Hardaway, Jr. are lightning in a bottle in the open court and are two of the best finishers off the break in the country. If a defense is smart and stops the ball on them, though, either is still able to dish to an open Nik Stauskas or find Glenn Robinson III for a thunderous alley oop. Unless Kansas can get back and hold onto the ball, Michigan is going to score a lot of easy points running. Mitch McGary has also shown a great propensity for smart outlet passes when he is able to corral a rebound, which should benefit Michigan further, and the Wolverines rarely give up transition points themselves. Look for the Maize and Blue to hold a double-digit edge in fast-break points tonight.

Jeff Withey will be the best big man Michigan has faced this season
2. Attack the Basket: As laid out by the previous point, there is no doubt in my mind that Michigan needs to push the pace in this game to have a chance. With that being said, however, more than three-quarters of the Wolverines’ possessions will likely come in the half-court set, where Kansas is dangerous on D. It might seem ludicrous to try to attack the basket against a team with as great a shot-blocker as Withey, and at the very least it is risky. Michigan could always try to out-gun their opponent and take half their shots from downtown, where they are capable shooters, but if Stauskas remains cold or Hardaway starts missing his shots, the Wolverines will be toast by halftime.
Trey Burke is one of the best drivers around, and when he gets past his defender, he needs to be confident in his abilities and take it right at Withey, where one of a number of possibilities are apparent. Sure, his shot could get blocked a couple times, and will certainly be altered on occasion, but Burke is too good to have that happen too often. If he goes to the basket looking to score, chances are he will either make his lay-up or floater or get fouled.
In Kansas’s five losses this season, their opponents have averaged 24 free throws to the Jayhawks’ 21, and Withey has racked up three or four fouls in four of those games. Three points could be the difference tonight, and even if Withey blocks eight shots and alters a few more, Michigan has other players to go get the ball and get an even easier basket because Withey is out of the play. A drive to the basket also usually means a slight collapse of the defense, which will lead to more open looks for Hardaway, Stauskas, and company. When Michigan is hesitant going toward the promised land, like they were against Wisconsin in the Big Ten Tournament when Bo Ryan had Jared Berggren parked in the paint all night, they are simply not as effective.
3. Neutralize Withey: Ben McLemore might be Kansas’s best individual talent, and he is a consensus top-three pick in the upcoming NBA Draft, but his production has dropped off in the post-season tournaments and he posted a dreadful 0-for-9 (0-for-6 3-pt.) shooting night against North Carolina the last time out. I think he will pick it up a little bit tonight, but Withey is still by far the most important Jayhawk player for my money. Not only is the big man a terror on opposing offenses, he also has a pretty solid low-post game himself, averaging 13.8 points per game on 58.3 percent shooting from the field and a very solid 71.4 percent mark from the charity stripe. Withey is also a monster on the glass, where he grabs 8.5 total rebounds a game, including 2.1 offensive boards per outing. Mitch McGary will be Michigan’s counterpoint to Bill Self’s experienced post stalwart, which Wolverine fans must feel good about after the freshman’s phenomenal opening round play. There is plenty of reason to be concerned for me, however.
For starters, McGary is a freshman and Withey is a senior. Yes, McGary has almost reached legal drinking age, but he’s been in the college game for just one season. My grandpa is four times Withey’s age, but that doesn’t mean he’s had enough experience to capably handle Withey in the post. And yes, McGary’s conditioning has improved to the point at which he could play a career-high 34 minutes against VCU, but his defense has been the knock on him all year, and I have yet to see that aspect of his game tested in the tournament. A couple early fouls for McGary and he will be watching from the bench for a long time. Withey is probably also the tallest, longest, and most put-together big man McGary will challenge all season, meaning potential trouble on the boards. If Michigan’s energy ball can rebound with authority and keep Withey out of the lane by constantly setting screens on offense, he has done his job. McGary doesn’t need to score 21 more points for Michigan to win – he just needs to be solid and not let Withey be the best player on the court.
Prediction: In my opinion, the most underrated aspect of John Beilein’s coaching is his teams’ ability to run the floor and score easy buckets on the break while still controlling the pace and limiting fast break points and turnovers the other way. I think tonight’s game will come down to those two stats – transition points and turnovers, which both should favor Michigan. Stauskas’s outside shooting could also be key early on, but Trey Burke will cement his stake for Player of the Year tonight as Michigan advances to the Elite Eight with a 78-71 win.