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Posts Tagged ‘Brady Hoke’

Five-Spot Challenge 2014: Utah

Monday, September 15th, 2014


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It was dicey at times during the second quarter, but Michigan got back in the win column on Saturday. Likewise, Kfarmer16 picked up his first Five-Spot Challenge win of the season, narrowly beating freezer566 and KashKaav with a point differential of just 125, the lowest of the season so far. He was the closest to correctly predicting Miami quarterback Andrew Hendrix’s passing yards (165), just 10 away; the second closest to Michigan’s total punt yards (172), 44 away; and third closest to Michigan’s first drive yards (38), four away. He wins a $20 gift card to The M Den.

Freezer566 was the second closest to Dennis Norfleet’s combined rushing, receiving, and return yards (69), just four away, and second closest to Michigan’s first drive yards, three away. KashKaav was only three away from Norfleet’s all-purpose yards, while Hazel Parker hit the nail on the head with Michigan’s first drive yards. First-time contestant nirvandog correctly predicted Michigan’s total yards (460), but his prediction of just 68 punt yards was what did him in. HTTV135 was the closest to that final question, just 22 away.

Kfarmer16 also nearly became the first contestant in the history of the Five-Spot Challenge to correctly predict the final score. His prediction of 35-10 was only one point away from the final score of 34-10. Bigboyblue was also close with his prediction of 30-10. No one correctly predicted Michigan to score 34 points, while 10 of the 22 contestants correctly predicted Miami’s 10. The average score prediction was Michigan 43 – Miami (Ohio) 13. The largest spread was Michigan 60 – Miami 10 and the closest was Michigan 23 – Miami 10.

The Week 3 results and overall standings are updated.

This week, Utah comes to town fresh off a bye week. The 2-0 Utes beat Idaho State 56-14 in Week 1 and Fresno State 59-27 in Week 2.

[Edit: There was a miscalculation on the differentials for question two last week that affected a few contestants. Tooty_pops actually had a deviation of 312, which moved him up two spots and gave him four points instead of two. That moved Bigboyblue down to three points and boggie down to two points. Mofobro actually had 336 points, but it didn't affect his position in the weekly results. It also did not affect anyone's position in the overall standings. Both have been updated. Apologies for the error.]

Here are this week’s questions:

Bouncing back: Michigan 34 – Miami (Ohio) 10

Saturday, September 13th, 2014


Derrick Green vs Miami(MGoBlue.com)

Looking to begin a new points-scored streak after the previous one of 30 years came to an end last week, Michigan hosted a Miami (Ohio) team hoping to end a dubious streak of its own: an 18-game losing streak. Like fellow Mid-American Conference foe Akron a year ago, Miami put up a fight, but this time Michigan shrugged it off and turned a close ballgame into a runaway win, 34-10.

Michigan wasted no time putting points on the board this Saturday, taking the opening possession to the Miami 12-yard line and kicking a 29-yard field goal. Jourdan Lewis picked off an Andrew Hendrix pass on 2nd-and-19, and five plays later Devin Gardner connected with Amara Darboh for a 17-yard touchdown pass. Michigan led 10-0 and looked to be well in its way to a blowout like it had in Week 1.

But then everything started to come unraveled. Three consecutive Michigan turnovers let Miami right back in the game. First, Darboh fumbled at the Miami 21-yard line after picking up 22 yards, and although Michigan’s defense forced Miami to punt, Gardner gave it right back two plays later with an interception over the head of Jehu Chesson. This time, given great field position at the Michigan 35, Miami took advantage with a 26-yard field goal.

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Final Stats
Michigan Miami (Ohio)
Score 34 10
Record 2-1 0-3
Total Yards 460 198
Net Rushing Yards 276 33
Net Passing Yards 184 165
First Downs 23 8
Turnovers 3 1
Penalties-Yards 3-20 7-40
Punts-Yards 4-172 8-301
Time of Possession 34:05 25:55
Third Down Conversions 6-of-13 2-of-12
Fourth Down Conversions 0-of-0 0-of-1
Sacks By-Yards 1-12 1-7
Field Goals 2-for-2 1-for-1
PATs 4-for-4 1-for-1
Red Zone Scores-Chances 4-of-4 2-of-2
Full Box Score

Miami pooch-kicked the ensuing kickoff and caught Michigan off guard. Wyatt Shallman fumbled the catch and Miami pounded on it at the Michigan 21. Four plays later, Hendrix found running back Dawan Scott for a 3-yard touchdown to tie the game at 10.

Michigan answered with its most important drive of the season to-date, riding Derrick Green down the field. After a 26-yard completion to Darboh and then a seven-yard sack, Gardner handed off to Green four straight plays. Green went for 27, 11, eight, and one, the final getting into the end zone to give Michigan 17-10 lead, which the Wolverines took into the locker room.

Neither team could muster any offense to start the second half as Miami punted away its first three possessions and Michigan its first two. Finally, Michigan broke through with a big-play drive. Gardner found Jake Butt for a 22-yard gain to the Miami 41, then De’Veon Smith rushed for 12. On 1st-and-10 from the Miami 29, Gardner lofted up a pass to a wide open Butt for a touchdown to give Michigan some breathing room.

Hendrix completed a 31-yard pass to David Frazier at the Michigan 28, but the RedHawks were unable to complete the drive. Miami tried to convert a 4th-and-14, but Brennen Beyer pressured Hendrix and forced an incomplete pass.

Michigan turned to Green once again on its next possession to ice the game. Green carried the ball on seven of the drive’s nine plays, picking up 50 yards including a 12-yard touchdown run to put Michigan ahead 31-10.

Shane Morris took over on Michigan’s final possession, leading Michigan from its own 19 to the Miami 23. On the drive, Morris scrambled for 27 yards and nearly threw a touchdown pass, but Chesson couldn’t hang on. Matt Wile kicked a 40-yard field goal to reach the final score of 34-10.

If you didn’t watch the game and just looked at the box score, you would assume Michigan won easily. Michigan out-gained Miami 460-198, picked up 23 first downs to Miami’s eight, held the RedHawks to just 2-of-12 on third down, and led the possession battle 34:05 to 25:55. But it was three second quarter turnovers that kept Miami in the game and sent boos raining down from the Big House crowd.

Gardner finished the game 13-of-20 for 184 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception, but it was Green who stole the show. The sophomore carried the ball 22 times for 137 yards and a score, averaging 6.2 yards per carry. He showed a much better ability to find the hole than he did a week ago, and on his touchdown run, showed the ability to bounce outside and outrun the defense to the edge. Without Devin Funchess, who missed the game with an ankle injury, Darboh led all receivers with six catches for 88 yards and a touchdown, while Butt caught three passes for 59 yards and a score.

As a team, Michigan rushed for 276 yards, averaging 6.1 yards per carry, and held Miami to just 33 yards rushing on 24 carries. Joe Bolden led the defense with seven tackles, while Beyer recorded Michigan’s only sack of the game.

Michigan hosts Utah next Saturday at 3:30 p.m. The Utes are 2-0 and had a bye week this week. Stay tuned for more coverage of Michigan’s win over Miami and previews of next week’s game.

M&GB staff predictions: Miami (Ohio)

Friday, September 12th, 2014


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Miami comes to Ann Arbor riding an 18-game losing streak, hoping to do what Toledo did a few years ago and what Akron nearly pulled off last year: pull off a MAC win in the Big House. Head coach Chuck Martin knows Michigan well and will have his team prepared. Could we be in for another huge letdown? Let’s take a look at our predictions.

Staff Predictions
Michigan Miami
Justin 42 17
Sam 54 6
Derick 52 10
Josh 42 17
Joe 44 10
M&GB Average 47 12

Justin: Martin will have a good game plan for Michigan, but lacks the talent and depth required to be competitive. Andrew Hendrix will test Michigan’s secondary and get a couple of big plays, but Michigan’s front seven will make its mark on an offensive line that has given up nine sacks through two games.

Devin Gardner will look for Devin Funchess early and often and also benefit from Jake Butt’s return. The running game will look much better than it did last week, but that still won’t give us any confidence in it beyond Saturday.

Michigan 42 – Miami 17

Sam: It can’t be that time again so soon can it? That feeling of impending doom at the start of every Michigan game? Well…I guess we will just wait and see. That sure worked out last season.

After a crushing 31-0 defeat at the hands of Notre Dame in a game that meant a LOT to Michigan Football but apparently didn’t mean much to Brady Hoke and this team, the Wolverines welcome the second patty-cake of the season to the Big House.

Miami of Ohio, they of the 18 straight losses (including 13 by double digits…but hey, they gave Eastern Kentucky a run for their money!!), will provide the competition(?) this Saturday in front of a crowd with plenty of leg room and not much reason to cheer.

Michigan will roll, because Miami is unspeakably terrible, but it won’t mean much. Even if they did lose, it probably wouldn’t damper Hoke’s outlook on the season, because, after all, the RedHawks are not in the Big Ten.

Anyway, expect to see much of the same as against Appalachian State. The offensive line will look wonderful, the secondary will be world class, and everything will be rosy again. Maybe that time will have to wait just one more week. I’ll take Michigan.

Michigan 54 – Miami (Ohio) 6

Derick

Michigan failed to show up for the biggest nonconference game of the season, and now it has to avoid any carryover as Miami (Ohio) comes to the Big House. The Wolverines were dominated in every facet of the game in South Bend, but should look much better against a winless MAC opponent. Michigan will blast the RedHawks on Saturday, but it won’t make up for the debacle last week. More importantly, will any major changes be implemented by Brady Hoke, who’s feeling the heat now?

Michigan 52 – Miami (Ohio) 10

Josh

Well, I hate to say it but I was right about Michigan’s potential struggles last week in the pass game, lack of run game, no pass rush and turnover Gardner showing up. Let’s hope my optimism against this week’s opponent carries over like my pessimism did last week.

Miami (Ohio) comes at the perfect time and should be a nice confidence booster heading into the Utah game (which I circled as a trap game heading into the season). Unlike Akron and UConn, Miami (Ohio) is actually pretty bad, 18-game losing streak bad. Coming off a loss to an FCS team I don’t think the RedHawks will put up much of a fight, though their passing game does concern me a bit with our depleted secondary. Hoke doesn’t talk about injuries (in case you haven’t heard) so who knows if Raymon Taylor and Jabrill Peppers are ready to go. They likely won’t run the ball so Michigan can commit most of their efforts to stopping the pass.

Expect Doug Nussmeier to get a little more aggressive than he was in weeks 1 and 2 and look to throw the ball over the top a few times to open up the defense. Devin Funchess is still a nightmare match up and he’ll come down with most jump balls so why not send him deep? Dennis Norfleet gave us glimpses (which is all he ever seems to give us) of what he can do in the slot and if the offense can establish a downfield threat it’ll open things up in the short and intermediate passing game, and run game. The Green/Smith combo should have a nice day but I doubt we’ll see the kind of numbers they put up against Appalachian State.

I don’t see Michigan suffering a ‘hangover’ from the Notre Dame debacle, though I question the “it was just one game” comments. Regardless, the Irish played very well last week and took advantage of all their opportunities via short fields and turnovers. No, Michigan didn’t play well at all but as much as I hate to admit it Notre Dame is very good team and should win nine or 10 games, so it’s not like Michigan just lost to Sisters of the Poor. That said, Michigan struggled with cupcakes last year and I think that is still very fresh in their minds. They will come in mentally ready and should roll over the RedHawks with relative ease. It won’t be an Appalachian State style rolling but Michigan is a 30-point favorite for a reason.

Michigan 42 – Miami (Ohio) 17

Joe

This is where we find out what this Michigan team is made of. We’ve heard all week long that this team has great leadership and will not get discouraged by last week’s shutout loss…it’s first in 30 years by the way. While I hope this to be the case, I am extremely skeptical. I need to see some MOXY and ATTITUDE from this group and see it early on Saturday.

With that being said, I feel the offense will be able to run the ball at will against an overmatched Miami squad. I can see both running backs going for over 125 yards and Gardner throwing for two touchdowns in this rebound game. Funchess will have his usual 100-plus-yard game and a touchdown by half. I am looking for a strong defensive performance with some early turnovers to get the momentum and crowd back into things. If Michigan is able to start fast, this will be a cakewalk. If Michigan struggles early, the Hoke teams tend to tighten up an keep things interesting for three quarters. I think this Wolverines group rebounds behind a strong running game and fired up defense. Michigan improves to 2-1 with a victory over the RedHawks of Miami.

Michigan 44 – Miami (Ohio) 10
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Links: 

For more coverage of this week’s game, see: Michigan-Miami (Ohio) game preview; a First Look at the RedHawks; our Week 2 Big Ten Power Rankings; this week’s BBQ/tailgate idea, Spatchcock RedHawk; a Q&A with Chuck LaPlante, the Miami writer for the MAC SB Nation site Hustle Belt; and this week’s Five-Spot Challenge. I also answered some questions for Hustle Belt.

Also check out game previews from MGoBlogMaize n BrewMaize n Blue Nation, and Touch the BannerMGoFish provides a list of Michigan targets visiting Notre Dame tomorrow. Also, roundtable predictions from Maize n Brew.

Michigan-Miami (Ohio) game preview

Friday, September 12th, 2014


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The last time Michigan faced Miami (Ohio) the Wolverines were beginning anew. Rich Rodriguez had taken over from Lloyd Carr and excitement surrounded the program, full of visions of sugar plums and high-flying spread offenses. The 2008 team opened the season with a 25-23 loss to a Utah squad that went 13-0 and finished ranked No. 2 nationally by the Associated Press. Rodriguez picked up his first win the following week against Miami (Ohio), 16-6.

Tomorrow when Miami comes to town, Michigan is in a much different spot. No longer are Mid-American Conference-level teams scared to step foot in the Big House. Since that 2008 win, Michigan is just 41-35 overall with a loss to Toledo and a near loss to Akron.

UM-Miami-small-final
Quick Facts
Michigan Stadium – 3:30 p.m. EST – Big Ten Network
Miami Head Coach: Chuck Martin (1st season)
Coaching Record: 74-9 overall (0-2 at Miami)
Offensive Coordinators: George Barnett (1st season)
Eric Koehler (1st season)
Defensive Coordinator: Matt Pawlowski (1st season)
Returning Starters: 15 (8 offense, 7 defense)
Last Season: 0-12
Last Meeting: UM 16 – Miami 6 (2008)
All-Time Series: Michigan leads 5-0
Record vs MAC: Michigan leads 33-1
Largest win over Miami: 55-0 (1924)
Closest win over Miami:  16-6 (2008)
Brady Hoke vs Miami:  2-2
Brady Hoke vs MAC: 32-21

Miami, on the other hand, isn’t exactly the class of the MAC. The school that once sent Michigan its most beloved coach, Bo Schembechler, and is known as the cradle of coaches, is still searching for its next big-time coach. After three years of decline under former Michigan State offensive coordinator and Jim Tressell protege Don Treadwell, the RedHawks turned to Notre Dame offensive coordinator Chuck Martin.

Unlike Treadwell, Martin isn’t a first-time head coach. He succeeded Brian Kelly at Grand Valley State in 2004 when Kelly left for Central Michigan and continued Kelly’s success, winning two national championships and setting a Division II record with 40 straight wins. In six years, he compiled a record of 74-7 before rejoining Kelly at Notre Dame in 2010.

In South Bend, Martin served as defensive backs coach his first two seasons before taking over as offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach in 2012 and 2013. The Irish weren’t exactly known for their offense those two seasons — they ranked 54th and 67th in total offense those two seasons — but the success was impressive enough to land his first Division 1 head coaching job.

Miami had a 10-1 season in 1998 under Randy Walker and a 13-1 season in 2003 under Terry Hoeppner, finishing ranked 10th nationally that season. But in the 10 years since, the RedHawks have had just three winning seasons. Michael Haywood put together a great turnaround in 2010, transforming a 1-11 team in his first season into a 10-4 squad in year two, but then he bolted for Pittsburgh, where he never coached after being arrested for domestic violence. Treadwell took over and went 4-8 in each of his first two seasons and started 0-5 last season before being fired on Oct. 6. Miami finished the season 0-12.

Miami opened this season with a 42-27 loss to Conference-USA favorite Marshall and then lost to FCS foe Eastern Kentucky 17-10 a week ago. Against Marshall, Miami fell behind 28-3 by halftime, but pulled within 28-20 at the end of the third quarter. The teams traded touchdowns in the fourth, but Marshall scored again to put it away with two minutes remaining. Against Eastern Kentucky, Miami dominated the game statistically, but had trouble finding the end zone. Miami scored on its first drive and held a 7-3 halftime lead, then widened it to 10-3 midway through the third. But EKU scored two touchdowns down the stretch to hand Miami its 18th-straight loss.

Let’s take a look at how Michigan and Miami match up.

Michigan defense vs Miami offense: When Miami has the ball

Martin’s offense will look similar to Notre Dame’s without the talent, though it certainly helps that he has one of his quarterbacks along with him. Andrew Hendrix spent four seasons at Notre Dame, where he played in 16 games in backup duty. He went 25-of-58 for 360 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions and also set the Notre Dame single game quarterback rushing record with 111 yards against Air Force in 2011. He graduated from Notre Dame last December and elected to follow Martin to Oxford for his grad-year season.

Chuck Martin knows Michigan well and will try to replicate what his former boss did last week (Miami University Athletics)

Chuck Martin knows Michigan well and will try to replicate what his former boss did last week (Miami University Athletics)

Despite being a former four-star recruit, Hendrix never could beat out Tommy Rees and Everett Golson in South Bend. Still, his familiarity with Martin’s offense makes him the best choice for the job this fall. And he has certainly been called on. Through the first two games, Hendrix has completed 49-of-101 passes for 677 yards, four touchdowns, and four interceptions. By comparison, Devin Gardner has only attempted 46 passes so far — three fewer than Hendrix has completed.

Miami’s offense currently ranks 18th nationally in passing, averaging 338.5 yards per game. Only 15 teams in the country have thrown for more yards so far and only four teams have attempted more passes. However, Miami has fewer touchdown passes than the other four, and only four of the 17 teams with more passing yards per game have fewer touchdown passes than the RedHawks.

With such an active passing game, Miami naturally has a pair of receivers averaging over 100 yards per game in senior David Frazier and redshirt sophomore Rokeem Williams. Frazier has caught 13 passes for 215 yards, but no touchdowns, while Williams has caught nine for 204 yards and one touchdown. They’re both decent sized receivers at 6’0″, 180 and 6’1″, 204, respectively. Then there’s 5’10″, 180-pound sophomore Jared Murphy, who has five receptions for 83 yards and a score, and tight end Alex Welch, who has six catches for 51 yards and a touchdown.

While the passing game is moving the chains, the running game is stuck in neutral. Miami ranks 116th nationally in rushing, averaging just 80 yards per game. Only eight teams in the country are averaging fewer, but none of them have attempted as many rushes as Miami has (74). Only five teams have fewer yards per carry than Miami’s 2.16.

Redshirt sophomore running back Spencer McInnis leads the team with 54 yards on 11 carries (4.9 yards per carry), while redshirt junior Spencer Treadwell has 47 yards on 10 carries (4.7 ypc). Hendrix has the most carries on the team (36), though if you remove sacks, his 27 carries for 40 yards are just 1.4 yards per carry. Receiver Dawan Scott actually has the most non-quarterback carries with 13, but has just 36 yards (2.8 ypc).

The line brought a combined 99 career starts into the season, but allowed 49 sacks a year ago. Already through two games this season, Miami has allowed nine.

Michigan offense vs Miami defense: When Michigan has the ball

Last season, Miami’s defense ranked 115th nationally in total defense, 113th in rush defense, and 106th in pass defense. So far this season, those numbers are far improved, but level of competition plays into that — namely, playing Eastern Kentucky. Miami ranks 60th in total defense, 55th in rush defense, 75th in pass defense, and 91st in scoring defense.

Quinten Rollins, a star for Miami's basketball team, is moonlighting at cornerback this season (Stephan Savoia, AP)

Quinten Rollins, a star for Miami’s basketball team, is moonlighting at cornerback this season (Stephan Savoia, AP)

Marshall put up 432 yards of offense in Week 1, 261 through the air and 171 on the ground. Marshall running back Devon Johnson ran for 151 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries (7.9 ypc), while quarterback Rakeem Cato completed 20-of-32 passes for 261 yards and three touchdowns. Week 2 was a different story as Miami’s defense limited EKU to 280 total yards and just 82 on the ground.

The front four consist of redshirt sophomore defensive end J’Terius Jones (6’3″, 245), junior defensive end Bryson Albright (6’5″, 243), junior defensive tackle Mitchell Winters (6’5″, 285), and redshirt sophomore nose tackle Jimmy Rousher (6’2″, 288). Jones currently ranks third on the team with 11 tackles, second with 2.5 tackles for loss, and tied for the lead with two sacks. He also has a fumble recovery, while Albright has eight tackles and a sack.

Another Notre Dame transfer is featured on defense, grad-year senior outside linebacker Lo Wood, who played in 32 games for the Irish. He has eight tackles so far. The other outside linebacker is redshirt junior Joe Donlan, who has 16 tackles, 1.5 for loss, and a sack. Junior Kent Kern, a second-team All-MAC selection last season, is the middle linebacker and leads the team with 23 tackles, three for loss, and two sacks, and also has two pass breakups.

The secondary includes a converted Miami basketball player who ranks second in Miami history and 12th in MAC history in steals. Quinten Rollins switched sports and is now a starting cornerback and continued his penchant for thievery as the only player on the team with an interception so far this season. Opposite him is redshirt sophomore Jay Mastin, who has five tackles and half of a tackle for loss. The safeties are senior Jarrell Jones, who has 10 tackles, and redshirt sophomore Marshall Taylor, who has five tackles and two pass breakups.

The other third: Special teams

Junior kicker Kaleb Patterson has made 3-of-5 field goals with a long of 24 and one blocked. He has made 22-of-29 the last two years with a long of 52. Redshirt junior punter Christian Koch is averaging 44.3 yards per punt with a long of 60 and two downed inside the 20. Redshirt sophomore receiver Fred McRae IV is the main man in the return game, averaging 13.5 yards per kick return and 10.5 yards per punt return.

Prediction

There are a couple of scenarios coming into this game. One is that Michigan still feels the weight of last week’s embarrassment, has no confidence, and effectively lets Notre Dame beat them twice. The other is that Michigan shakes off last week’s loss, uses it as a spark, and devours a MAC snack. I think the later is more likely.

You can be sure Martin has spoken to Kelly this week to try to figure out how he was able to have such success last Saturday, but the fact of the matter is Martin lacks the talent Kelly had. Everett Golson played a flawless game and I wouldn’t expect Hendrix to do the same. Will he make some big plays? Probably. Especially if Jabrill Peppers is still out and Raymon Taylor can’t go. Michigan’s secondary is vulnerable right now and the Miami passing game will be a good test. However, this could be the game that gets Michigan’s pass rush going, given that Miami is allowing 4.5 sacks per game.

The Michigan offense will move the ball just like Marshall did, and while Miami doesn’t have anyone that can cover Devin Funchess, it would be nice to see Devin Gardner develop more cohesion with his other receivers. It would also be nice to see Derrick Green and De’Veon Smith put together a rushing performance more like Week 1 than last week. We certainly won’t see 350 rushing yards, but should hope for at least 200.

Michigan will be much more efficient than it was last week, and while Miami will make a few big plays, it will be too one-dimensional to really challenge the Wolverines.

Michigan 42 – Miami 17

Miami (Ohio) Q&A with Chuck LaPlante of Hustle Belt

Thursday, September 11th, 2014


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Each Thursday throughout the season we collaborate with that week’s opponent blog to get some questions answered by the guys who know more about their team than we do. Last week, we talked to Ryan Ritter of Her Loyal Sons. This week, we partnered with Chuck LaPlante of the Mid-American Conference SB Nation site, Hustle Belt. He was kind enough to answer questions about the changes new head coach Chuck Martin brought about, why Andrew Hendrix throws so many passes, what match ups he’s most worried about, and more. You can follow him on Twitter at @laplanck.

1. In what ways have the team changed under Chuck Martin compared to the previous staff?

I think the best way to answer that question is to answer a related question, which is how Martin and his staff are different from Treadwell and Company. (I think the jury’s still out on how the team has changed after some practices and just two games.) Martin himself has an outstanding track record of success, both at the Division II level and as a coordinator at the Division I level. The man knows how to win, and he’s hired a staff that shares experience winning with him, either as former assistants or as former players. That was a big component missing from the Treadwell staff, where our offensive coordinator, John Klacik, was hired despite taking two years off of football after a fifty-plus-game losing streak as a Division II head coach. The new staff has a confidence about them that the old staff never did (even from day one), and I think we’ll soon see that reflected in the players.

Another refreshing change is Martin’s directness and willingness to take responsibility when things go wrong. If Miami lost by 42 points under Treadwell, he’d say something like, “I thought our game plan was solid, but we just need to execute better,” essentially throwing the team under the bus when his own schemes led to a 42-point beatdown. After last week’s loss to EKU, Martin took the blame himself, saying that he was responsible for not having the team prepared to face EKU’s game plan. It’s a refreshing change.

2. Andrew Hendrix has thrown over 100 passes in two games and has completed more passes than Devin Gardner has attempted. Two Miami receivers are averaging over 100 yards per game. Is that how Martin wants the offense to be, or is it a product of not being able to run the ball? And do you think it can have success against Michigan’s defense?

It’s a product of not being able to run the ball. Our offensive line is terrible; there’s no way to sugarcoat that. It’s a product of how bare Treadwell left the cupboard (his staff recruited skill positions well, but seemingly wouldn’t even try to recruit linemen), and of his aversion to any strength and conditioning for the players. To be sure, Miami can have limited success in a traditional running game — Spencer McInnis showed some good flashes last week — but the line just doesn’t have the power or stamina to keep it up for a whole game, which is why you start seeing Hendrix scrambling around and throwing it all over the field, or just taking it and running himself. There’s a reason so much of Martin’s incoming recruiting class consists of tight ends on the larger side; most of them will bulk up and shift to the line.

Can they have success against the Michigan defense? I think that if they avoid stupid turnovers (there were six last week; Miami would have beaten EKU if there were only, say, four), they’ll score points. I seriously doubt it will be enough to win, but there are yards to be had through the air.

3. After putting up 350 rushing yards and 52 points against Appalachian State in Week 1, Michigan’s offense failed to make it to Notre Dame’s red zone last Saturday and was shut out for the first time since 1984. Does Miami’s defense have enough talent to slow down Michigan’s offense or will it be more like Week 1?

The defense certainly won’t be shutting Michigan out, but I think it will provide more of a challenge than the Mountaineers did. Despite being outweighed man-for-man by EKU’s offensive line (again, thanks to Treadwell’s S&C program or lack thereof, Miami’s DL was outweighed man-for-man by the OL of an FCS school), the RedHawks held the Colonels to 82 yards. EKU got over 400 yards in Week 1 and averaged 200 yards a game on the ground last year. But this is a team that still has a big hole to climb out of. I expect a respectable showing that shows improvement in some phases of the game, nothing more.

4. What matchup worries you the most this Saturday and why? And is there a matchup where you think Miami has an advantage?

Devin Gardner versus the defense. Miami hasn’t looked good against a dual-threat quarterback since 2010, and although I do think the defense is getting better, I don’t see that changing by Saturday. Where does Miami have an advantage? Well, I’d take our AD, David Sayler, over Dave Brandon. But that’s not exactly on the field.

5. What’s your prediction and why?

Michigan, 37-17. If the RedHawks avoid turnovers, they can score a couple times. But Michigan is definitely the better team, and it will show.

Final Look: Notre Dame

Wednesday, September 10th, 2014


Gardner vs ND(MGoBlue.com)

Last season, Michigan pulled off a big win over Notre Dame in the Big House, a performance that garnered some (premature) national championship talk. A week later, lowly Akron came to town and nearly pulled off a monumental upset. In fact, Michigan needed a last second goal line stop to stave off defeat.

This time around, Michigan heads into a matchup with lowly Miami (Ohio) with its tail between it legs, fresh off of a humiliating 31-0 defeat in South Bend. Before we fully turn our attention to Miami, let’s take one last look back at the big plays, numbers, stats, and observations from Michigan’s loss last Saturday.

Three key moments

Typically, this will feature three big moments that helped Michigan win the game, but that doesn’t mean they will always be positive. In the case of Saturday’s loss to Notre Dame, there isn’t much positive to glean, so here are three key moments that shaped the game.

1. Matt Wile’s missed field goals

Notre Dame won the coin toss and elected to receive, thinking that they could set the tone of the game by marching down the field and scoring. But Michigan’s defense held firm and forced a punt. The Michigan offense took the field full of confidence and wasted no time moving the chains. On the second play, Devin Gardner hit Devin Funchess for 12 yards. On the next play, Dennis Norfleet rambled 13 yards and Michigan was already to midfield. Michigan converted a fourth down and then Funchess caught a seven-yard pass at the ND 30. But the drive stalled there as a pass to Norfleet lost two, and on 3rd-and-5, Derrick Green picked up three. Matt Wile trotted onto the field to attempt a 46-yard field goal to give Michigan an early three-point lead. But it missed wide right. Notre Dame answered with an eight-play, 71-yard touchdown drive to take an early 7-0 lead.

Matt Wile's missed field goals on Michigan's first two drives were demoralizing in a tough road environment (MGoBlue.com)

Matt Wile’s missed field goals on Michigan’s first two drives were demoralizing in a tough road environment (MGoBlue.com)

Michigan got the ball back, and on the third play, Gardner found Funchess for 27 yards to get into Irish territory again. On first down from the ND 34, center Jack Miller false started, moving Michigan back five yards. Three plays later, Michigan faced 4th-and-6 instead of 4th-and-1, so Wile came in to attempt another field goal, this time from 48 yards out. His plant foot slipped and the kick never had a chance. Six points left on the field.

Notre Dame didn’t score on its next possession, instead punting it back to Michigan, but this time the offense was unable to string together a drive. We will never know how the game would have changed had Wile made those two field goals, but Michigan would have at the very least led 3-0, trailed 7-3, then pulled within 7-6 early in the second quarter. In reality, it snowballed from there and Michigan’s offense that moved the ball fairly well on its first two possessions went into desperation mode. Even after the Irish scored again, heading into the half down 14-6 would have been much more manageable, until…

2. Notre Dame’s third touchdown

After Notre Dame went up 14-0, Michigan got a seven-yard run by Norfleet on the first play of its ensuing possession. But then the Devin Gardner tuck rule that wasn’t the tuck rule fumble occurred and Michigan lost 12 yards. Facing 3rd-and-20, Nussmeier elected to go the safe route with a Justice Hayes draw that gained 10. Michigan punted back to Notre Dame.

A 12-yard punt return gave the Irish possession on their own 44 with 1:24 remaining in the half. A few plays later, on 3rd-and-1 at the Michigan 24, Golson lofted a perfect pass into the end zone and William Fuller leapt over Blake Countess for the touchdown. That play was essentially the death blow. At halftime, trailing 21-0, the game felt completely insurmountable. Had that pass gone incomplete and Michigan held ND to a field goal, 17-0 would have somehow felt better. And had Michigan made its two field goals, 17-7 would have felt even better, especially since Michigan was getting the ball to start the second half. But that’s a lot of ifs.

3. Gardner’s first interception

While the 21-0 halftime lead felt more like 49-0 because Michigan’s offense hadn’t put up any points and the defense was allowing Golson to pick it apart, there was still a sliver of hope for most Michigan fans because of the comebacks the Wolverines have pulled off against the Irish in recent years. But that was all dashed when Gardner was picked off on the fifth play of the third quarter.

Michigan had picked up a first down on a nine-yard Gardner run and a two-yard Derrick Green run. Gardner then ran for six yards, but on second down, Green was tackled for a three-yard loss, setting up 3rd-and-7 at the Michigan 39. Gardner dropped back to pass and fired across the middle for tight end Khalid Hill, but safety Max Redfield stepped in front and picked it off. He returned it 17 yards to the Michigan 38, and although the Michigan defense forced ND to punt, the Irish downed the punt at the 2-yard line. The interception flipped field position and it paid off for the Irish on their next drive as they punched it in for a 28-0 lead.

Given the ifs above, and if Gardner hadn’t thrown that interception and instead Michigan scored, it could have been 17-13 and we would have had a ball game. But again, if there are that many ifs in a game, you’re not going to win, especially on the road against a good opponent.

The numbers game

365: Michigan’s consecutive games without being shutout, dating back to Oct. 20, 1984, prior to last Saturday’s 31-0 loss at Notre Dame

24-17-1: Michigan’s all-time record against Notre Dame

172: The number of passes Devin Gardner had thrown since his last interception on Nov. 3, 2013 against Michigan State

9: Devin Gardner’s rank on Michigan’s career completions list, passing Steve Smith

Drive Chart
ND
UM
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UM
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ND
UM
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UM

 

*Hover over team initials to see drive statistics, Dash indicates direction of drive, Green dash = scoring play, Grey = punt, Red = turnover, Pink = missed field goal, Black = end of half

Vote for the performance of the game

Obviously it was a putrid performance all around, but hey, let’s vote for Michigan’s top performance of the game!
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Big Ten power rankings: Week 2

Wednesday, September 10th, 2014


Power Rankings_header

It was a dreadful week for the Big Ten as a conference, as the top teams crumbled against strong competition and the rest of the teams struggled against weak teams. Purdue and Northwestern both fell to MAC schools and Iowa barely escaped Ball State. Nebraska, Illinois, and Maryland were favored by multiple scores but all only won by a single possession. At night the conference’s supposed top three teams lost by a combined 64 points in a week that may have eliminated the Big Ten from playoff contention.

East Division
1. Penn State (2-0, 0-0) – Up 2
Last Week: Beat Akron 21-3 This Week: Sat at Rutgers, 8pm, Big Ten Network

What could be better than crushing Akron to move to 2-0 on the season for Penn State? How about learning that, after an offseason resigning themselves to literal championship irrelevance, the team will be eligible to play in the postseason after all? The news comes for a Penn State team that looks dangerous behind sophomore quarterback Christian Hackenberg and could make a run at the East Division crown.

2. Michigan State (1-1, 0-0) – Down 1
Last Week: Lost to #3 Oregon 27-46 This Week: Bye (9/20 vs Eastern Michigan)

Very few teams in the country have the talent to beat Oregon on its own turf, and Michigan State is not one of those groups. But that doesn’t mean the Spartans can’t make a run at the first college football playoff. Losing by 19 points should never satisfy a fan base that hopes to support an elite program, but Michigan State certainly looked like the class of the Big Ten when it led 27-18 in Autzen.

3. Maryland (2-0, 0-0) – Up 4
Last Week: Beat South Florida 24-17 This Week: Sat vs West Virginia, 12pm, Big Ten Network

After demolishing James Madison in Week 1, Maryland still had everything to prove in its first year as a member of the Big Ten conference. On Saturday it was more of the same as the Terrapins went on the road and beat a South Florida team that finished 2-10 last season.

4. Indiana (2-0, 0-0) – Up 2
Last Week: Bye This Week: Sat at Bowling Green, 12pm, ESPNU

Scheduling a bye may have been the best possible move for Indiana in a week when nearly every Big Ten powerhouse lost by more than 10 points. The Hoosiers go on the road to face Bowling Green this week before a big matchup in Missouri.

5. Rutgers (2-0, 0-0) – Even
Last Week: Beat Howard 38-25 This Week: Sat vs Penn State, 8pm, Big Ten Network

Following a huge road win in Washington State to bring in the new season, Rutgers struggled with Howard when it returned back home. In the end, four touchdown passes from Gary Nova was enough to move Rutgers to 2-0.

6. Ohio State (1-1, 0-0) – Down 2
Last Week: Lost to Virginia Tech 21-35 This Week: Sat vs Kent State, 12pm, ABC/ESPN2

Week 1 against Navy was just a fluke, right? Unfortunately for Urban Meyer, his team proved that notion wrong on Saturday night when Virginia Tech walked into the Horseshoe and stomped his Buckeyes 35-21. J.T. Barrett was 9 for 29 with three interceptions in what turned out to be a disastrous performance. Would Ohio State be the best team in the conference with Braxton Miller? It’s certainly possible, but without the former Heisman candidate the team is revealing massive holes at more than just backup quarterback.

7. Michigan (1-1, 0-0) – Down 5
Last Week: Lost to #16 Notre Dame 0-31 This Week: Sat vs Miami (Ohio), 3:30pm, Big Ten Network

In the final matchup with Notre Dame on Saturday night, Michigan proved how much a team can change over the course of a week. After a nearly perfect showing against Appalachian State in the opener, the team completely collapsed in South Bend. Doug Nussmeier’s offense posted the school’s first scoreless effort in 30 years while Greg Mattison’s ‘more aggressive defense’ sat back and let Everett Golson pick it apart like a thoracic surgeon. One loss can’t derail an entire season, but the 31-0 shelling fans witnessed Saturday is as close as it gets. Brady Hoke’s best road win in four seasons at Michigan is over an Illinois team that finished 7-6 after scraping out a victory in the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl in 2011. Nothing short of wins in East Lansing or Columbus should save this coaching staff.

West Division
1. Minnesota (2-0, 0-0) – Up 1
Last Week: Beat Middle Tennessee 35-24 This Week: Sat at TCU, 4pm, Fox Sports 1

Minnesota’s presence atop the West Division standings says more about the rest of the conference than it does about the Golden Gophers. Minnesota has played two cupcake opponents at home, but through Week 2, beating those teams by double digits is enough to earn the top spot.

2. Wisconsin (1-1, 0-0) – Up 2
Last Week: Beat Western Illinois 37-3 This Week: Bye (9/20 vs Bowling Green)

Blowing a 17-point lead to LSU on the national stage almost came back to bite Wisconsin again, as it led Western Illinois just 9-3 at halftime. But the Badgers came back in the second half and scored 28 unanswered points and are the obvious favorite in the West Division.

3. Nebraska (2-0, 0-0) – Down 2
Last Week: Beat McNeese State 31-24 This Week: Sat at Fresno State (0-2), 10:30, CBS SN

Nebraska highlights a host of teams that struggled to beat inferior opponents on Saturday. McNeese State fought the Cornhuskers to the bitter end in Lincoln, losing by just a touchdown.

4. Illinois (2-0, 0-0) – Up 2
Last Week: Beat Western Kentucky 42-34 This Week: Sat at Washington (2-0), 4pm, FOX

Though Illinois beat Western Kentucky by only eight points, quarterback Wes Lunt has emerged as a leader of the offense. Lunt has thrown for 741 yards and seven touchdowns through his first two weeks.

5. Iowa (2-0, 0-0) – Even
Last Week: Beat Ball State 17-13 This Week: Sat vs Iowa State (0-2), 3:30pm, ESPN

Iowa was a popular pick to challenge Wisconsin for the West Division title at the beginning of the season, but two poor showings have buried that belief despite a 2-0 start for the Hawkeyes. Ball State nearly upset Iowa in Iowa City, but fell just four points short.

6. Purdue (1-1, 0-0) – Down 3
Last Week: Lost to Central Michigan 17-38 This Week: Sat vs #11 Notre Dame, 7:30pm, NBC

Former Michigan running back Thomas Rawls shredded Purdue for 155 yards and two touchdowns as Central Michigan absolutely rolled the Boilermakers 38-17 in West Lafayette. Purdue trailed the whole game and is clearly inferior to mid-level MAC schools at this point of the season.

7. Northwestern (0-2, 0-0) – Even
Last Week: Lost to Northern Illinois 15-23 This Week: Bye (9/20 vs Western Illinois)

Two losses to start the 2014 season have left Northwestern with a 2-9 record since the middle of last season as the program continues to unravel underneath Pat Fitzgerald. The Wildcats are the only team in the conference without a win.

First Look: Miami (Ohio)

Monday, September 8th, 2014


FirstLook-Miami

Michigan suffered its first shutout in 30 years in a humiliating loss at Notre Dame last Saturday and now returns home to face a team riding an 18-game losing streak. Miami (Ohio) is in its first season under former Notre Dame offensive coordinator Chuck Martin. The Redhawks haven’t won a game since beating Ohio University 23-20 on Oct. 27, 2012.

A week ago, any thought of an upset sounded insane, but with last week’s loss in mind and last season’s scares against Akron and UConn, could Miami possibly have a chance to end its losing streak in the Big House? Let’s take a first look at Miami.

Miami (Ohio) Statistics & Michigan Comparison
MiamiMichigan Rank Defense Rank
Points Per Game 18.5 | 26.0 111 | T86 29.5| 22.5 T9168
Rushing Yards 160 | 450 253 | 207
Rush Avg. Per Game 80.0 | 225.0 116 | 39 126.5 | 103.5 55 | 36
Avg. Per Rush 2.2 | 6.3
3.7 | 3.1
Passing Yards 677399 459 | 353
Pass Avg. Per Game 338.5 | 199.5 18 | T86 229.5 | 176.5 75 | 35
Total Offense 837849 712 | 560
Total Off Avg. Per Game 418.5 | 424.5 T77 | 72 356.0 | 280.0 60 | 26
Kick Return Average 16.7 | 26.0 107 | 25 25.6 | 19.6 119 | 55
Punt Return Average 10.5 | 23.5 41 | 9 6.2 | 5.2 67 | 59
Avg. Time of Possession 36:42 | 31:36 4 | 44
23:18 | 28:24
3rd Down Conversion Pct 30.0% | 43.0% 109 | 66
20.0% | 38.0% T7 | T65
Sacks Allowed-Yards/By-Yards 9-60 | 3-24
T122 | T66
7-28 | 3-25
T16 | T75
Touchdowns Scored 4 | 7
8 | 6
Field Goals-Attempts 3-51-4 1-1 | 1-1
Red Zone Scores (5-8) 63% | (6-6) 100% 113 | T1
(6-7) 86%(6-6) 100% T71 | T88
Red Zone Touchdowns (2-8) 25% | (5-6) 83% (5-7) 71% | (5-6) 83%

Miami has continued its losing streak so far this season, namely because of the 11 points per game scoring disparity. In Week 1, the Redhawks did manage to put up 27 points against a Marshall team that went 10-4 last season and is favored to win the Conference-USA this season, but last Saturday could only muster 10 points against an FCS school, Eastern Kentucky.

Against Marshall, Miami fell behind 21-0 early in the second quarter, but fought back to within 28-20 heading into the fourth. That was as close as they would get as Marshall won 42-27. Against EKU, Miami led 10-3 in the third, but the Colonels scored 14 straight to knock them off.

Schedule
Date Opponent Result
Aug. 30 Marshall L 27-42
Sept. 6 Eastern Kentucky L 10-17
Sept. 13 at Michigan
Sept. 20 at Cincinnati
Sept. 27 at Buffalo
Oct. 4 Massachusetts
Oct. 11 at Akron
Oct. 18 at Northern Illinois
Oct. 25 Kent State
Nov. 1 Western Michigan
Nov. 15 at Central Michigan
Nov. 25 Ohio

The Miami offense this season is extremely one-sided through two games, averaging 338.5 passing yards and just 80 rushing yards per game. The passing game ranks 18th nationally and only 15 teams have thrown for more yards so far, including future Michigan opponents Penn State and Michigan State. Quarterback Andrew Hendrix, a Notre Dame transfer, has thrown 101 passes (by comparison, Devin Gardner has thrown 46) and completed 49. Two receivers are averaging over 100 yards per game, though only one of them has caught a touchdown pass.

The running game on the other hand is a disaster, although not quite as bad as the numbers look because they’ve lost 60 yards on sacks. Take out the sacks and Miami is averaging a still bad but slightly more respectable 3.2 yards per carry. Hendrix has carried the ball three times more than any running back has, and sacks removed, is averaging just 1.4 yards per carry.

Defensively, Miami is giving up a touchdown more per game than Michigan and ranks about middle of the pack nationally. The Redhawks held Eastern Kentucky to just 280 total yards, but as we saw in South Bend last Saturday that doesn’t mean much when your own offense can’t score. Unlike Michigan’s, Miami’s offense actually rolled in that one, racking up 445 total yards, but managed just 10 points. The week prior, however, Marshall rushed for 171 and passed for 261 on Miami. Marshall running back Devon Johnson rushed for 151 yards and two touchdowns on 7.9 yards per carry.

One stat that really sticks out is the seven sacks that the Miami defense has recorded through just two games, four more than Michigan. Michigan’s offensive line has only allowed three, but didn’t provide Gardner much time to throw on Saturday.

This is a game that could be a bit closer than it should be if Michigan doesn’t shake off last week’s game quickly. You can bet Diaco will give his buddy Brian Kelly a call this week to learn how the Irish had such success moving the ball on Michigan last week and shutting down the Michigan offense. Notre Dame had much more talent than Diaco’s squad does of course, but Hendrix spent three years at ND and won’t shy away from the environment. He will test Michigan’s secondary, especially if Raymon Taylor and/or Jabrill Peppers can’t go, though I assume at least Peppers will be back. Michigan should win this one similar to the way it beat Appalachian State, but if Doug Nussmeier can’t fix last week’s problems, it could make for a very tense afternoon.

Key Players
Passing Comp-Att Yards TD INT Long
Andrew Hendrix 49-101 677 4 4 47
Rushing Attempts Yards TD Long Average/Carry
Spencer McInnis 11 54 0 13 4.9
Spencer Treadwell 10 47 0 15 4.7
Dawan Scott 13 36 0 13 2.8
Andrew Hendrix (QB) 36 7 0 13 0.2
Receiving Receptions Yards TD Long Average/Game
David Frazier 13 215 0 47 107.5
Rokeem Williams 9 204 1 41 102.0
Dawan Scott (RB) 6 53 1 15 26.5
Jared Murphy 5 83 1 40 41.5
Defense Solo Assisted Total Tackles TFL-Yds Sacks-Yds
Kent Kern (LB) 15 8 23 3-13 2-12
Joe Donlan (LB) 10 6 16 1.5-7 1-6
J’Terius Jones (DL) 7 4 11 2.5-4 2-4
Jarrell Jones (DB) 8 2 10 0-0 0-0
Kicking FG Made FG Att Long XP Made XP Att
Kaleb Patterson 3 5 24 4 4
Punting Punts Yds Avg. In-20 50+
Christian Koch 11 487 44.3 2 2
Full Stats

Stay tuned for more on Miami in the coming days.

Egg Laid: Notre Dame 31 – Michigan 0

Sunday, September 7th, 2014


Gardner hit vs ND(Jonathan Daniel, Getty Images)

The main storyline coming into Saturday’s primetime showdown between Michigan and Notre Dame was the series between two of college football’s most historic programs coming to an end. But it was the end of another streak that hurt the most.

For 30 years and 365 consecutive games, from the final five years of Bo Schembechler’s tenure, through Gary Moeller, Lloyd Carr, and yes, even Rich Rodriguez, Michigan had managed to put at least a safety on the scoreboard. But a year after Brady Hoke accused Notre Dame of chickening out of the series, it was his Wolverines that laid an egg.

Michigan entered Notre Dame Stadium looking to win for the fifth time in the last six meetings, but left with its worst loss and first shutout in series history, 31-0.

After forcing a Notre Dame punt to start the game, Michigan’s offense got to work, efficiently marching from its own 23 to Notre Dame’s 29. The drive stalled there and Matt Wile missed a 46-yard field goal. Notre Dame seized the momentum, driving 71 yards in eight plays for the game’s first score, a one-yard Cam McDaniel run.

Michigan responded with a nice drive that once again stalled just before the Irish red zone. Wile’s 48-yard field goal attempt was blocked, and suddenly an offense that gained 92 yards on its first two possessions had no points to show for it. Two possessions later, Notre Dame hit pay dirt again, this time through the air as Everett Golson found Amir Carlisle from a yard out.

UM-ND-small-final-final
Final Stats
Michigan Notre Dame
Score 0 31
Record 1-1 2-0
Total Yards 289 280
Net Rushing Yards 100 54
Net Passing Yards 189 226
First Downs 18 20
Turnovers 4 0
Penalties-Yards 5-50 3-20
Punts-Yards 4-170 6-230
Time of Possession 33:04 26:56
Third Down Conversions 4-of-13 7-of-15
Fourth Down Conversions 1-of-2 1-of-1
Sacks By-Yards 1-16 2-16
Field Goals 0-for-2 1-for-1
PATs 0-for-0 4-for-4
Red Zone Scores-Chances 0-of-0 4-of-4
Full Box Score

That’s the way the rest of the night went: Notre Dame methodically picking apart Michigan’s defense and Michigan’s offense unable to find an answer. By the time halftime mercifully came, Michigan had dug itself a 21-point hole that on the stat sheet felt closer, but in reality felt more like 50.

As the second half began, the glimmer of hope that the coaching staff could find an adjustment that would turn things around faded into depression as Devin Gardner was intercepted five plays in. The defense held strong despite Notre Dame starting at Michigan’s 38, but ND punter Kyle Brindza stuck a punt at the two-yard line. It felt like a dagger.

Michigan punted it back and the Irish responded with a  12-yards touchdown pass from Golson to Carlisle. The downward spiral continued as Gardner fumbled on the next possession and threw an interception on the following.

By the fourth quarter, Michigan fans were relegated to simply rooting for the points-scored streak to continue, but it wasn’t so. The Wolverines’ offense, in its second game under new offensive coordinator Doug Nussmeier, failed to reach the Notre Dame red zone and only crossed midfield on four of 11 possessions.

Michigan out-gained Notre Dame 289 to 280, but routinely gave up good field position and the Irish capitalized. Michigan held Notre Dame to just 54 yards rushing on 31 attempts (1.7 yards per carry), but surrendered 226 yards through the air.

After starting 6-of-6 in the first quarter, Gardner finished the game 19-of-32 for 189 yards and three interceptions. Devin Funchess caught nine passes for 107 yards, while Jehu Chesson caught three for 30. Michigan managed 100 yards rushing on 35 attempts (2.9 yards per carry), led by De’Veon Smith’s 31 yards on seven carries (4.3) and Derrick Green’s 28 yards on 13 carries (1.9).

All-in-all, it was a nightmare in every sense of the word as Notre Dame carries the bragging rights into the indefinite series hiatus, Michigan’s 30-year scoring streak came to an end, and it suffered some injuries in the process that could affect the rest of the season.

Raymon Taylor left the game in the first half and reportedly left the stadium in a leg cast. Funchess went down in the fourth, and although he came back in for the final series, he was noticeably limping and also reportedly left the stadium in a boot. Frank Clark had his right arm in a cast and Michigan played the entire game without Desmond Morgan and Jabrill Peppers.

It’s no secret that Hoke doesn’t discuss injuries, and he stressed that in the post game press conference, but it’s becoming increasingly clear that his time in Ann Arbor is ticking down. He by and large managed to avoid true hot seat talk through the offseason and could have quelled it with a promising season, but after Saturday’s goose egg in South Bend, it’s hard to find a believer anymore. He’s now 7-12 away from the Big House and 6-9 in true road games, and with road trips to East Lansing and Columbus still to come, he may need to win one or both to keep his job.

But as disheartening as Saturday’s performance was, let’s keep it in perspective. Michigan is now 1-1 and still has 10 games left to play. Conference play hasn’t yet started, so the team’s number one goal — to win the Big Ten — is still there for the taking. That doesn’t mean it will be easy — far from it — but perhaps Hoke can use this to galvanize the team. Remember 2007 when Michigan suffered a humiliating defeat to Appalachian State and followed it up by getting thumped by Oregon, 39-7? That team pulled itself together and won its next eight, including a 38-0 beatdown of Notre Dame the very next week, and closed the season with an upset of a ninth-ranked Florida team led by Heisman trophy winner Tim Tebow.

The sting of Saturday’s loss to Notre Dame will take a while to go away, but there’s a lot of football left to play this season. We’ll find out in the weeks to come how much resolve this team has. Will it learn from its mistakes and rally the rest of the season behind its beleaguered coach? Or will it wallow in its misery and pack it in? It starts when a bird of a different feather comes to town next Saturday.

M&GB staff predictions: Notre Dame

Friday, September 5th, 2014


StaffPicks_banner

One hundred and twenty-seven years ago, Michigan traveled to South Bend and taught a group of Catholics how to play football. Tomorrow, those two schools that share such history will square off for the final scheduled time. It could be ten years, it could be more before the two all-time winningest programs rekindle the rivalry, but both will be looking to carry bragging rights into the hiatus. Here are our predictions.

Justin

When I watched and re-watched Notre Dame’s season-opening win over Rice, I came away impressed with the Irish offense. Rice is a much better opponent than Appalachian State and Notre Dame didn’t have much trouble with them. Specifically, Everett Golson is a much better quarterback than when Michigan last saw him two years go. In that game, Golson went 3-of-8 for 30 yards and two interceptions before being replaced by Tommy Rees. He spent last season away from the program due to suspension, but used that time to work with quarterback guru George Whitfield and become a better quarterback. That was on display last Saturday when he completed 14-of-22 passes for 295 yards and two touchdowns, and rushed for 41 yards and three touchdowns. Those are Devin Gardner numbers.

Staff Predictions
Michigan Notre Dame
Justin 38 33
Sam 31 26
Derick 31 27
Josh 20 27
Joe 34 28
M&GB Average 31 28

Golson showed very good arm strength and touch on deep throws as his receivers routinely beat the Rice secondary. That won’t happen tomorrow and Michigan’s game plan would be wise to keep all receivers in front of them and force Golson to hit the quick throws, which is where his accuracy struggled last Saturday.

Rice was able to move the ball fairly well against the Notre Dame defense, especially through the air. The Owls ranked 103rd nationally in passing offense last season, averaging just 178 yards per game. Against Notre Dame, Rice threw for 226 yards and had a lot of wide open receivers. Brian Kelly chalked that up to miscommunication and said it has been fixed this week, but Michigan’s receivers are much, much better than Rice’s. Unless Notre Dame defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder can keep Gardner off balance all day long, Gardner will have a big day and lead Michigan to a close victory in a high scoring affair.

Michigan 38 – Notre Dame 33

Sam

Michigan versus Notre Dame doesn’t need much of an introduction. It’s one of the biggest rivalries in the world of sports, a matchup that almost always brings bright and loud fireworks. In two days, the two old-time rivals will go at it for the last time in the foreseeable future and for the all-time college football win percentage lead (ND currently leads by an unfathomably small margin)…as if this Saturday’s game to be played at night at Notre Dame Stadium needed any more hype.

So what should we expect? Fireworks, smoke bombs, firecrackers, and then some. There has not been a runaway victory in this game for quite some time, and I don’t expect one this weekend either.

I think we will see another decently high-scoring affair, with the Devin-to-Devin connection getting things going again early before Everett Golson leads the Irish back to within striking distance and maybe the lead. If Michigan’s offensive line can make ND’s defensive front look like Appalachian State (2014 version), the Maize and Blue will roll behind Derrick Green and De’Veon Smith again. It won’t be that easy, though. In the end, I like Michigan’s front seven to apply a good deal of pressure and Michigan’s offense to have one too many weapons on one too many plays for the shaky Irish secondary to hold up. Funchess scores two more while Amara Darboh finds the end zone for the first time in a Michigan win.

Michigan 31 – Notre Dame 26

Derick

It’s tough to draw conclusions from the performances of Michigan and Notre Dame last week, but two blowout victories have set up a battle between two teams that looked nearly perfect in Week 1.

Michigan showcased a revived rushing attack that crumbled to pieces during the conference schedule in 2013. A healthy Devin Gardner complimented the running of Derrick Green and De’Veon Smith with 13 completions on 14 attempts to round out an incredibly efficient offensive attack.

If Doug Nussmeier can maintain this level of productivity from his sophomore running backs, Michigan’s offense will be nearly impossible for any team to stop.

In the final meeting between the two teams, Notre Dame will struggle to stop that offense and Michigan will come out with a slim win.

Michigan 31 – Notre Dame 27

Josh

Saturday marks the end of a classic (albeit not very often) rivalry. To be honest, I don’t blame Notre Dame for backing out; they’ve lost six of the last eight and Michigan is getting back to being Michigan. With the move to playing five ACC teams every year the Irish don’t want too many good opponents on their schedule after all.

After last week’s showing I feel better about this weekend, though not much better. If this was a home game I’d be much more confident. However, it is not and Notre Dame Stadium is a tough environment. None of Hoke’s teams have shown the ability to win on the road against decent opponents and that is a big red flag for me heading in.

A lot of the college football pundits seem to think this will be a shoot out, I don’t think so at all. Michigan’s defense is much more aggressive than last year and has the athletes to play press coverage, which will allow the front four ample opportunities to create havoc for the running backs and Everett Golson. Michigan only had two sacks and two more TFL’s against Appalachian State, that just doesn’t cut it. The Irish front will be far bigger and stronger than App State was, presenting a challenge. Michigan should be able to hold its own but I don’t think they’ll generate much pass rush or fluster Golson too much. Lack of pass rush will allow the Irish will beat the Michigan defense deep a few times and they’ll put points up on the board. Maybe not a ton, but it’ll be enough.

Devin Gardner looked really good last week, making checks at the line for protection and switching plays. But can he do it again, and against a better team? I’d love to say yes but I really have no idea if he can be consistently good. Funchess is an unstoppable monster on the outside and odds are Notre Dame will double him so Gardner needs to find that second receiver. I think it’ll be Norfleet out of the slot. But if Norfleet can’t step up and Gardner keeps forcing passes to his No. 1 guy it won’t turn out well. For me it’s basically a coin flip over which Devin Gardner shows up but on the road and I have to lean towards inconsistent, prone to turnover Gardner.

The run game, while dominant last week against a weak opponent, still concerns me. Take out the big runs for Green and his yards per carry are a paltry 3.7, which for a man of his size and (alleged) skill is completely unacceptable. De’Veon Smith showed better and has better vision so I’d be willing to bet he gets the nod as 1a, but he still lacks game breaking speed so don’t expect him to hoof it for any more 50-plus gains.

The line had some trouble creating holes against App State and I think that’ll get worse against the Irish. Graham Glasgow will play and we’ll probably see yet another starting five on the line. These guys just can’t get enough time together to jell and if you don’t know what you’re gonna get from the guy next to you it makes your job all the more difficult. Mason Cole, while admirable and fairly technically sound last week, is still just a freshman and as we saw is clearly not strong enough yet. I think he’ll get abused more than once and that could spell doom for Gardner as he is not the best at making decisions under duress. I think the Irish sack him four or five times and force at least one turnover that leads to a score.

Until this team shows me they’ve made marked improvement, can be consistently good week to week and can beat a decent opponent on the road I won’t have much confidence in them. They beat App State like they should have now comes the first test of whether this team has come together and can get it done. I’m not so sure they have and Michigan ends this rivalry with a big fat L and the “Fire Hoke” bandwagon will warm itself up.

Notre Dame 27 – Michigan 20

Joe

The “final” showdown in the storied rivalry between Notre Dame and Michigan is set for primetime on Saturday, and this contest will not be without its fair share of storylines. Fresh off of easy wins and equally impressive showings for each quarterback, each of these teams will be put to the test.  The lingering question for me is this: Which Michigan team will show up on the road? Despite Hoke’s success at home (20-2), the Wolverines have struggled away from Ann Arbor and are a disappointing 7-11. If the offensive line can buy Devin Gardner some time while opening up holes for the duo of De’Veon Smith and Derrick Green to take some pressure off of him, Big Blue will play spoiler on ND’s home turf.  I have no doubt that Michigan’s defense and special teams will step up in this one and keep it competitive, therefore, the bulk of the responsibility rests on the shoulders of the offense. This game will not be decided until the fourth quarter, so enjoy some BBQ, a cold beverage, and a Wolverines victory.

Michigan 34 – Notre Dame 28

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Links: 

For more coverage of this week’s game, see: Michigan-Notre Dame game preview; a First Look at the Irish; our Week 1 Big Ten Power Rankings; this week’s BBQ/tailgate idea, Irish Stout Pepper Beef; a Q&A with Ryan Ritter of Her Loyal Sons; and this week’s Five-Spot Challenge.

Also check out game previews from MGoBlogMaize n Brew, Maize n Blue Nation, and Touch the Banner. MGoFish provides a list of Michigan targets visiting Notre Dame tomorrow. Also, roundtable predictions from Maize n Brew.

From the other side, staff predictions from Her Loyal Sons. Spoiler: they all pick ND and most of them aren’t even close games. Also, a prediction from One Foot Down.